TankOdds
Sim the Madness
NBA draft odds. Mock drafts. Prospect scouting. Bracket simulators, all powered by Monte Carlo modeling.
Today's Games
Live scores, game times, spreads, and over/unders for every NBA game. Run a 10K Monte Carlo sim on any matchup to get win odds, projected scores, cover percentage, and where the model sees value vs the spread.
NBA Bracket Sim
Simulate the full 2026 NBA Playoffs using live standings and championship odds. Includes the play-in tournament. Run series by series or all at once.
Hit or Brick
Ever wanted to see NBA legends matched up with today's stars? Now you can. Hit or stand your way through a blackjack-style deck, chase 21, and see if you beat the dealer at the buzzer or brick the hand.
Mock Lottery
Run the full 14-team lottery from live standings and generate a complete mock draft using prospect rankings, team needs, and expert fit consensus.
Draft Prospects
Scouting reports and player cards for the top prospects in the 2026 NBA Draft class, widely considered one of the deepest in recent memory.
Team Pick Sim
Run 1,000 Monte Carlo trials for any lottery team. See pick distributions, protection resolution, and conveyance odds in real time.
NBA Standings
All 30 teams ranked best to worst with wins, losses, home and road records, conference record, streak, PPG, and point differential. Toggle Overall or Conference.
Featured Prospects
Guards, wings, and transfers outside the lottery spotlight with real development trajectories worth tracking as the draft season unfolds.
NCAA Bracket & Champion Sim
Simulate the full March Madness bracket round by round, then run 1,000 Monte Carlo trials on the championship game. Dial in the upset factor and see who cuts the nets.
How It Works
Monte Carlo simulation, pick distributions, EWMA streaming probability, seed movement, and protected pick conveyance. All explained.
FAQ
Answers to common questions about lottery odds, conveyance math, pick distributions, EWMA smoothing, and how TankOdds models each scenario.
League Changes
How the NBA Draft actually works, plus the 2026 “3-2-1” anti-tanking lottery reform up for a Board of Governors vote on May 28 — and the league’s move to expand to Seattle and Las Vegas.
TankOdds vs. Tankathon
Why a full probability distribution, clearer visual storytelling, and protection-aware simulation tell you more than a single lottery spin.
Prospect Ranking Method
How TankOdds weighs production, tools, projection, age, and role when building the 2026 draft board.
Protected Picks Explained
Top-4, top-10, conveyance rules, and why protected picks are easier to understand through probability than through one-off examples.
Mock Draft Method
How TankOdds combines projected order, prospect value, team need, and fit signals into a board that is clearer and easier to interpret.
How is TankOdds different from other NBA draft lottery simulators?
Most NBA draft lottery simulators give you one spin and one projected board. TankOdds runs up to 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations per session and shows the full probability distribution using the NBA's official lottery weights. You can see how often a team lands in each draft slot instead of treating one random result like the answer.
The clearest difference shows up on the Team Pick Sim page. You can start with one lottery team, one seed, and one protected-pick rule, then watch the pick distribution, conveyance results, and running probability update as the simulation builds. Protection is resolved inside each trial, so the lottery odds you see match the actual pick scenario you are testing.
TankOdds is a one-stop shop for the NBA side of the season, with live standings, the playoff bracket, the mock draft, and prospect pages alongside the lottery tools. See the full TankOdds vs. Tankathon comparison.