About

TankOdds is an independent basketball analytics site built for people who want more than one random lottery spin and a shrug. The site focuses on draft odds, protected picks, mock draft logic, and prospect pages that try to explain what is actually going on instead of throwing a result on the screen and calling it a day.

The basic idea is simple. Most lottery tools show one outcome. That can be fun, but it doesn't tell you much. TankOdds was built to show the full range of realistic outcomes, explain the assumptions behind the models, and make the uncertainty easier to read.

What TankOdds Covers

TankOdds publishes lottery simulation tools, mock draft tools, NBA and NCAA bracket pages, standings, and draft prospect reports. Some pages are interactive. Others are there to explain the math, the rules, or the reasoning behind the outputs.

The site is for readers who want more than draft chatter. That includes fans tracking protected picks, people comparing lottery outcomes across teams, and readers who want prospect pages with actual context instead of five vague strengths and a highlight clip.

How the Site Works

The core lottery tools use Monte Carlo simulation. In plain English, the site runs the lottery over and over under the NBA's published odds, records the result each time, and then checks what happened to the pick under the protection rule in that scenario. Do that enough times and you get a much clearer picture of the real odds.

TankOdds also publishes explanation pages so readers can check the logic for themselves. The How It Works page goes through the mechanics in more detail. The FAQ page covers the common questions people usually have once they start using the tools.

Data and Sources

TankOdds uses public league information and other public sources where they make sense. Depending on the page, that can mean the NBA's published lottery odds, standings feeds, public trade records, sportsbook market information, and prospect context drawn from games, recruiting coverage, and public reporting.

Those sources are inputs, not the final product. On simulator pages they support the model. On prospect or analysis pages they support an original read of the situation instead of a dressed-up rewrite of someone else's work. For more detail, see the Data Sources page.

Original Reporting and Analysis

TankOdds isn't meant to be a scrape, mirror, or page farm. The site only has value if the modeling is useful, the framing is honest, and the writing adds something. Prospect pages should read like real reports. Simulation pages should show trade-offs and probabilities that one random result hides. Explanatory pages are there so readers can see the logic instead of being told to trust a black box.

That matters because fans already have scores, standings, and consensus mock drafts everywhere. TankOdds only deserves to exist if it adds context and a real point of view on top of public information. The site's publishing standards are laid out in the Editorial Policy page.

Scope and Limitations

TankOdds models the current rule set and the assumptions built into each page. The outputs are estimates, not guarantees. Draft outcomes, trade conditions, injuries, role changes, and late-breaking league news can all change the real picture after a page goes up. The numbers here are tools for understanding a scenario, not promises about what will happen.

The site also does not claim official league status. TankOdds is an independent publisher and analytics project. It is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the NBA or any of its member teams.

Who Built TankOdds

TankOdds is developed by StatsLab, an independent San Diego, California-based analytics company founded by Oren Fugon, MD-PhD. Oren's background is in genetics, quantitative modeling, and data analysis, and the site reflects that. The bias here is toward clear assumptions, readable outputs, and showing the work.

StatsLab builds tools in other domains too, but TankOdds is its dedicated basketball project.

Contact and Accountability

If you spot an error, want to suggest a feature, have a business question, or need to reach the site operator about a policy issue, use the Contact page or email prescient@tankodds.com. Reader feedback matters here. If a source issue, factual mistake, or broken page is found, TankOdds can review it and fix it.