TankOdds
Friday, March 14, 20259 games · 17 board prospects
24 Illinois
21-12
11 Maryland
25-7
25 Marquette
23-10
6 St John's
29-4
17 BYU
24-9
2 Houston
29-4
21 Missouri
22-11
4 Florida
28-4
North Carolina
22-13
1 Duke
30-3
20 Purdue
22-11
22 Michigan
23-9
Arizona
22-11
9 Texas Tech
25-8
UConn
23-10
Creighton
24-9
15 Kentucky
22-11
5 Alabama
25-7
Last updated 2:12 PM EST ET
How games are chosen
A game shows up here when either team has a player in the top 30 of the TankOdds 2027 big board, a consensus of eight public boards and mock drafts. International prospects play outside college, so their games aren't listed. Scores and schedules come from ESPN. Rankings next to team names are the AP Top 25.
How the college simulation works
Click Run Simulation on an upcoming game and your browser plays it out 50,000 times. The starting point is the spread and over/under on the card. If the home team is favored by 8 with an O/U of 150, their mean is 79 and the away team's is 71. Each trial draws a shared game pace that moves both scores together, then adds each team's own scoring swing. Home court and neutral sites are already priced into the spread.
Win % is how often each team won across the 50,000 trials. Within 5 is how often the final margin was 5 points or fewer, and 15+ margin is how often either team won by 15 or more. The bottom row shows the middle 80% of simulated margins, so one trial in ten finished beyond each end.
The college sim uses one variance setting for every team because early-season scoring samples are too small to trust. That means it reads the market line instead of challenging it, so there is no edge or lean rating like the NBA cards have. It doesn't know about injuries, minutes limits or lineup changes. This is a statistical simulation for educational and entertainment purposes, not gambling advice. For NBA games, see Today's NBA Games.