TankOdds Basketball Analytics

Sim the Madness

NBA draft odds. Mock drafts. Prospect scouting. Bracket simulators — powered by Monte Carlo modeling.

Team Pick Sim

Run 1,000 Monte Carlo trials for any lottery team. See pick distributions, protection resolution, and conveyance odds in real time.

Bar chart from the Team Pick Sim showing six lottery pick outcomes, with the fifth pick as the tallest bar.

Mock Lottery

Run the full 14-team lottery from live standings and generate a complete mock draft using prospect rankings, team needs, and expert fit consensus.

Bar chart from the Mock Draft tool showing projected teams by pick, with the Pacers at pick 5 as the tallest bar.

NCAA Champion Sim

1,000 Monte Carlo simulations to estimate who cuts the nets. See which teams win most often as a probability distribution.

Horizontal bar chart of NCAA title odds with Michigan, Arizona, Duke, and Houston among the top teams.

NCAA Bracket Sim

Simulate the full March Madness bracket using real sportsbook odds. Run round by round, dial in the upset factor, and crown a champion.

Completed NCAA bracket showing Michigan as national champion, with regional paths filled in on both sides of the bracket.

NBA Bracket Sim

Simulate the full 2026 NBA Playoffs using live standings and championship odds. Includes the play-in tournament. Run series by series or all at once.

Completed NBA playoff bracket showing the Clippers as NBA champion, with the play-in tournament displayed beneath the main bracket.

NBA Standings

All 30 teams ranked best to worst with wins, losses, home and road records, conference record, streak, PPG, and point differential. Toggle Overall or Conference.

NBA standings table showing conference rankings, records, streaks, and point differential.

Draft Prospects

Scouting reports and player cards for the top prospects in the 2026 NBA Draft class — widely considered one of the deepest in recent memory.

Silhouette of a basketball player rising toward the rim with the ball raised overhead.

Featured Prospects

Guards, wings, and transfers outside the lottery spotlight with real development trajectories worth tracking as the draft season unfolds.

Silhouette of a basketball player driving forward while dribbling with the left hand.

How It Works

Monte Carlo simulation, pick distributions, EWMA streaming probability, seed movement, and protected pick conveyance — explained.

FAQ

Answers to common questions about lottery odds, conveyance math, pick distributions, EWMA smoothing, and how TankOdds models each scenario.

League Changes

Three anti-tanking lottery reforms heading to a vote in May, plus NBA expansion to Seattle and Las Vegas. Both affect every franchise and every future draft class.

How is TankOdds different from other NBA draft lottery simulators?

Most NBA draft lottery tools run a single lottery spin and display one outcome. TankOdds runs up to 1,000 independent Monte Carlo simulations per session and shows the full probability distribution — how often each pick position occurred across all trials, using the official NBA lottery combination weights. That distribution is more useful than any single spin because it reveals which outcomes are realistic, how concentrated or spread the odds are, and how protection rules interact with a team's actual seed position.

TankOdds also resolves pick protection rules before each simulation draws — not as a post-hoc filter — which means every result in the distribution respects the current protection structure. For bracket simulators, TankOdds uses sportsbook-based probability inputs rather than relying on seed lines or computer ratings alone — live championship odds for the NBA bracket, and opening semifinal moneylines plus title-board inputs for the NCAA bracket. See how TankOdds compares to Tankathon.