TankOdds
Run the Lottery. See the Draft Unfold.
The TankOdds Lottery Forecast runs the full 14-team NBA Draft Lottery from current live standings, applies current pick-protection rules, and builds a projected order for the entire lottery at once. The chart shows the projected team in each slot and how many times that exact slot-team pairing appeared in the current run.
After the forecast settles, the built-in mock draft maps that projected order to 2026 prospect rankings, current team-need weights, and recurring mock-draft player/team fits so the board reflects both roster context and what experts are actually projecting.
Projected Draft Order
Bar chart of the projected team in each lottery slot, with occurrence counts showing how often each team-slot pairing appeared in the run.
Mock Draft Player View
The full mock draft board mapping the projected lottery order to 2026 prospects using rankings, team needs, and expert fit consensus.
What Makes It Different
The Lottery Forecast runs the full 14-team board from start to finish, not just isolated top-pick odds. It uses live ESPN standings to set the lottery field, applies current pick-conveyance rules, and records complete lottery orders so the projected board reflects outcomes that actually occurred in the sample.
The projected order is based on full observed lottery outcomes, not a slot-by-slot guess stitched together from separate probabilities. That keeps every displayed team-slot pairing tied to an order that actually happened in the run.
The mock draft is no longer just best-player-available versus team need. Picks 1–5 still lean heavily toward top-of-board talent, but team need has some influence there too. From pick 6 onward, need matters more, and the model also gives a directional boost to player-team pairings that appear repeatedly in current expert mock drafts.
Teams marked with an asterisk (*) have picks that may convey to another franchise depending on where the ball lands, while double asterisks (**) indicate the current projected slot already falls outside protection and would send the pick to the recipient shown. The simulator links directly to the Team Pick Sim for full protection analysis.
